KER
The Growth Effects of Population Aging in an Economy with Endogenous Technological Progress
Young Jun Chun (Hanyang University)발행년도2013Vol.29No.1
초록
We address the effects of population aging on economic growth, taking account of itsgrowth-delaying effects, through the reduction of capital accumulation and labor force, andthe R&D investment reduction due to its lowered return resulting from reduced market size,as well as its growth-promoting effects, through the increase in educational investment dueto decrease in the number of child per parent. The policy simulations with a generalequilibrium model and its calibration, reflecting the Korean economy, show that: (1) thepopulation aging delays technological progress as well as quantitative economic growth; (2)the government subsidies to R&D and educational investment can partly compensate for theloss in economic growth due to the population aging, but they cannot deal with the problemfundamentally; and (3) the optimal subsidy rates to R&D and education are quite high,ranging from 50 to 70% to R&D and from 70 to 80% to education.